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How Likely Are You to Hit a Deer While Driving?

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U.S. map showing likelihood of deer-vehicle collision by state (2011-12). Graphic: State Farm Insurance. Click on the map for a larger view.

How likely are you to hit a delicious deer over the course of a year while driving?

Just yesterday, in Hamilton Twp. N.J., six children suffered minor injuries when the school bus they were riding in swerved off the road as the driver frantically tried to avoid a deer in the roadway (full story).

Why didn't the driver just hit the deer instead? A garden hose, rubber gloves and a solid putty knife and whala - a shiny bus grill, good as new. Not to mention, sloppy does for dinner! Anyway, according to the insurance company State Farm, West Virginia is the most dangerous state for deer-vehicle confrontations, with a likelihood that 1 in 40 people will hit a deer while driving.

Using its claims data and state licensed driver counts from the Federal Highway Administration, State Farm calculated the chances of a motorist striking a deer over the next 12 months.

You're probably safe in Hawaii, where it's 1 in 6,801. In New Jersey, it's 1 in 191, so be careful when cruising on the Atlantic City Expressway.

Click the map for a larger view and hit the jump for more deer-vehicle confrontation information.

Information from the State Farm Insurance website.

Counting U.S. Deer-Vehicle Confrontations

The number of deer-related collisions in the U.S. has increased by 7.7 percent over the last year. This jump comes after a three year period during which these collisions dropped 2.2 percent.

State Farm estimates 1.23 million collisions caused by the presence of deer occurred in the U.S. between July 1, 2011 and June 30, 2012.

The probability that any single licensed driver in the U.S. was behind the wheel during one of those 1.23 million crashes also increased from 1 in 183 to 1 in 171, approximately equal to the odds that you will be audited by the Internal Revenue Service next tax season.

Over the last four years, the number of deer-related claims paid by the nation's leading auto insurer has increased 7.9 percent while other similar auto claims** have declined 8.5 percent.

“We have known for quite a while that the frequency of auto insurance claims has been declining,” said Chris Mullen, Director, Technology Research. “But whatever is causing that trend is obviously not impacting deer-related crashes.”

When Do Deer-Vehicle Collisions Occur?

State Farm’s data shows that November is the month during which deer-vehicle encounters are most likely. More than 18 percent of all such mishaps take place during the 30 days of November.

Deer-vehicle collisions are three times more likely to occur on a day in November than they are on any day between February 1st and August 31st. October is the second most likely month for a crash involving a deer and a vehicle. December is third.

The average property damage cost of these incidents during the final half of 2011 and the first half of 2012 was $3,305, up 4.4 percent from the year before.

Avoiding Deer-Vehicle Mishaps

“State Farm has a long history of supporting auto safety,” said Stiles. “Calling attention to hazards like this one is part of our DNA.”

Here are tips from the Insurance Information Institute on how to reduce the odds of a deer-vehicle confrontation involving your vehicle becoming part of the story we tell next year:

  • Keep in mind that deer generally travel in herds – if you see one, there is a strong possibility others are nearby.
  • Be aware of posted deer crossing signs. These are placed in active deer crossing areas.
  • Remember that deer are most active between 6 and 9 p.m.
  • Use high beam headlamps as much as possible at night to illuminate the areas from which deer will enter roadways.
  • If a deer collision seems inevitable, attempting to swerve out of the way could cause you to lose control of your vehicle or place you in the path of an oncoming vehicle.
  • Don’t rely on car-mounted deer whistles

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